Our presidential forecast, which launched today, is not the first election forecast that FiveThirtyEight has published since 2016. There was our midterms forecast in 2018, which was pretty accurate in predicting the makeup of the House and the Senate. And there was our presidential primaries model earlier this year, which was a bit of an … Continue reading How FiveThirtyEight’s 2020 Presidential Forecast Works — And What’s Different Because Of COVID-19