Could Tester have lost in 2012?

Share of Libertarian Dan Cox's votes that Republican Denny Rehberg would have needed to win the 2012 Montana Senate race against Democrat Jon Tester

48.6%

6.6%

44.9%

Jon Tester

Dan Cox

Denny Rehberg

50%

Denny Rehberg would have needed to take about 78% or more to win

6.6%

44.9%

Denny Rehberg

48.6%

Dan Cox

Jon Tester

50%

Denny Rehberg would have needed to take about 78% or more to win

Stacked bar charts showing that Republican Danny Rehberg would have needed to take about 78% or more of Libertarian Dan Cox's votes to win the 2012 Montana Senate race against Democrat Jon Tester
Totals may not add to 100 percent due to rounding.
FiveThirtyEight
SOURCE: MONTANA SECRETARY OF STATE