Could Tester have lost in 2006?

Share of Libertarian Stan Jones's votes that Republican Conrad Burns would have needed to win the 2006 Montana Senate race against Democrat Jon Tester

49.2%

2.6%

48.3%

Jon Tester

Stan Jones

Conrad Burns

50%

Conrad Burns would have needed to take about 67% or more to win

2.6%

48.3%

49.2%

Conrad Burns

Jon Tester

Stan Jones

50%

Conrad Burns would have needed to take about 67% or more to win

Stacked bar charts showing that Republican Conrad Burns would have needed to take about 67% or more of Libertarian Stan Jones's votes to win the 2006 Montana Senate race against Democrat Jon Tester
Totals may not add to 100 percent due to rounding.
FiveThirtyEight
SOURCE: MONTANA SECRETARY OF STATE