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FiveThirtyEight

California Gov. Jerry Brown speaks at the 2013 opening of Amazon's San Bernardino fulfillment center.
Hundreds of job-seekers stand in line at the South Florida Diversity Job Expo in Davie, Florida, during the height of the recession in 2009.
Rep. Xavier Becerra, a California Democrat, at a news conference to urge House Republicans to take up the unemployment insurance extension.
People line up outside a job fair in late March in Washington.
Ray Callaway, who has been a carpenter for 27 years, works on a temporary dining room for the Harvard Business School in Boston in late 2013.
In this Jan. 25, 2012, photo, people walk in the Old Town section of Victorville, Calif., where most stores are vacant or boarded up.
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