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FiveThirtyEight

Vice President Joe Biden, left, and House Speaker John Boehner take part in the count of the Electoral College votes for the 2012 presidential election.
Immigration reform supporters protest in front of the Cannon House Office Building in Washington on August 1, 2013.
Former Florida Governor Jeb Bush speaks during a Long Island Association luncheon.
Hillary Clinton speaks at the University Of Miami.
Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee at the Conservative Political Action Conference.
U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio at a Senate Foreign Relations Committee hearing in 2013.
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