For a better browsing experience, please upgrade your browser.

FiveThirtyEight

Politics

The Swamp cites a WNBC/Marist poll that shows McCain highly competitive with both Democrats in the Empire State. In fact, he is leading Barack Obama by 2 points, while Hillary Clinton leads McCain by the same small margin.

We try and keep an open mind here, but … I’m going to go ahead and call this one an outlier. For one thing, Marist has a below-average pollster rating. For another, this survey asked another question about a McCain-Condi Rice versus Clinton-Obama and Obama-Clinton tickets. If the Condi question was asked before the regular Presidential trial heat questions, that could influence perceptions of the latter — a classic case of question order biasing the results.

Filed under , ,

Comments Add Comment

Never miss the best of FiveThirtyEight.

Subscribe to the FiveThirtyEight Newsletter
×

Sign up for our newsletters to keep up with our favorite articles, charts and regressions. We have two on offer: The first is a curated digest of the best of what’s run on FiveThirtyEight that week. The other is Ctrl + , our weekly look at the best data journalism from around the web. Enter your email below, and we’ll be in touch.




By clicking subscribe, you agree to the FanBridge Privacy Policy

Powered by WordPress.com VIP