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Although the United States continues to project to win the most medals overall in Vancouver, our chances for the gold medal title took a bit of a hit today as a couple of the golds that many forecasters had predicted — Linsday Vonn in the women’s Super-G, Shani Davis in the 1,500, Apolo Anton Ohno in the 1000m short-track — turned into silvers or bronzes instead. Full projections below the jump.

Nate Silver is the founder and editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight.

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