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FiveThirtyEight

Politics

Just a quick note to let you know that the site has been updated to reflect today’s national tracking polls. There’s nothing at all on the state side today.

Obama lost another point in both Rasmussen (bringing the race to a true dead heat) and Gallup (where he retains a 3-point advantage). It’s still not yet enough to convince our model that anything serious is going on. Part of what’s going on here, by the way, is that we’ve really had very light polling volume over the past week or so — the whole notion that Obama’s numbers are tanking is really just based on two surveys (Newsweek and the Rasmussen tracker). We should know more soon enough.

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