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FiveThirtyEight

Politics

Hillary Clinton’s Ohio map turns a bit bluer today and Obama’s a bit whiter on the back of Rasmussen polling that shows Clinton leading John McCain by 7 points, and Barack Obama trailing him by 1. This result is a significant improvement from Rasmussen’s last polling in the state for both Democrats and brings them into line with the other Ohio pollsters. Until the University of Cincinnati releases more data, the “big three” in Ohio are Rasmussen, SurveyUSA and Quinnipiac. All three polls show Obama 1-2 points down against McCain and Clinton 7-11 points ahead. Obama will have another chance to show a lead over McCain when SurveyUSA releases fresh Ohio results later this week.

Also, in New York, Siena shows Obama and Clinton with leads of 11 and 12 points respectively.

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