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FiveThirtyEight

Politics

In what appears to have been the only general election poll of the weekend, Strategic Vision shows both Democrats trailing John McCain in Pennsylvania: Barack Obama by trails by 8 points, and Hillary Clinton by 4. Generally speaking, this is consistent with other Strategic Vision polls of the state, which have been considerably more pessimistic for the Democrats than other surveys.

The poll also shows the Democratic primary race Clinton 48, Obama 41. The 7-point margin is an incremental improvement for Obama, who trailed by 9 in Strategic Vision’s last survey.

I’d expect a quiet couple of days ahead on the general election front, as the world waits to see whether SurveyUSA and Quinnipiac turn out last-minute Pennsylvania polls, and what if any movement they find.

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