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FiveThirtyEight

Politics

I promised that I wasn’t going to put much more work into estimating crowd sizes for yesterday’s tea party events, but here is one last update. The important thing is that we now have a credible estimate for Atlanta at 15,000 persons; we were previously relying on an estimate of 7,000 that the Atlanta Journal-Constitution had initially made yesterday evening but then pulled back upon.

It’s not surprising that Atlanta had the largest turnout (in fact, the largest turnout by far, according to our collection of nonpartisan estimates). Turnout was much higher in state capitals than in other cities, and seems to have been much larger in the South than in other regions of the country. Atlanta, being by far the largest Southern state capital, therefore did very well.

Here are the new and revised listings; followed by a complete list from top to bottom. The new listings bring the cumulative estimate of attendance to 311,460 between 346 cities. The same caveats apply as before: although I’ve included any estimates I’ve found that seem even reasonably nonpartisan and credible, there were many protests in which reliable crowd estimates were not readily available or where there wasn’t even any press coverage at all. However, essentially all major cities and state capitals should now be accounted for.

New and Revised Listings:
Atlanta, GA* – 15,000
New York, NY* – 3,500 (average of two estimates)
Richmond, VA – 3,000
Des Monies, IA* – 3,000 (original source revised upward)
Columbus, OH – 2,700
Canton, OH – 2,500
Boston, MA* – 2,500 (two events)
St. Louis, MO – 2,000
Escondido, CA – 2,000 (two locations)
Topeka, KS – 1,500
Cleveland, OH – 1,500
Charlotte, NC – 1,500
Charlottesville, VA – 1,500
Tallahassee, FL – 1,500
Bend, OR – 1,200
Medina, OH – 1,000
Beaumount, TX – 1,000
Wilmington, DE – 1,000
Carmel Mountain Ranch, CA – 1,000
Roseburg, OR – 750
Hyannis, MA – 600
Cedar Rapids, IA* – 600 (replaced with nonpartiasn source)
Houma, LA – 600 (two locations)
Augusta, ME – 600
Clarksville, TN – 500
Honolulu, HI – 400
Columbus, MS – 400
Lexington, NE – 400
El Dorado, AR – 300
Columbus, GA – 300
Iowa City, IA – 300
Harrison, AR – 300
Kahului, HI – 250
Nicholasville, KY – 250
Pappilon, NE – 200
Walton, FL – 200
Cleveland, TN – 200
Jefferson City, MO – 200
Defiance, OH – 175
Emporia, KS – 150
Fremont, OH – 100
Astoria, OR – 100
Coos Bay, OR – 100
Bad Axe, MI – 100
New Richmond, WI – 80
Richmond Hill, GA – 60
Westerville, OH – 50
* Revision of earlier estimate

All Listings:
Atlanta, GA* – 15,000
Denver, CO – 5,000
Phoenix, AZ – 5,000
Madison, WI – 5,000
Bossier City, LA – 5,000
San Antonio, TX – 4,500
Olympia, WA – 4,500 (average of two estimates)
Lansing, MI – 4,500 (average of two estimates)
Jacksonville, FL – 4,500
Oklahoma City, OK – 4,500 (average of two estimates)
Dallas, TX – 4,000
Fort Myers, FL – 4,000
Fort Worth, TX – 3,750 (average of two estimates)
Indianapolis, IN – 3,625 (average of two estimates)
Vero Beach, FL – 3,500
Sacramento, CA – 3,500 (average of two estimates)
New York, NY* – 3,500 (average of two estimates)
Tulsa, OK – 3,200
Hartford, CT – 3,000
Sioux Falls, SD – 3,000
Cincinnati, OH – 3,000 (average of two estimates)
Richmond, VA – 3,000
Des Monies, IA* – 3,000
Naples, FL – 3,000 (two events)
Nashville, TN – 2,900
Annapolis, MD – 2,750 (average of two estimates)
Columbus, OH – 2,700
Bakersfield, CA – 2,650 (two events)
Columbia, SC – 2,650 (average of two estimates)
Jackson, MS – 2,500
Boise, ID – 2,500
Canton, OH – 2,500
Boston, MA* – 2,500 (two events)
Charleston, SC – 2,500
Spokane, WA – 2,300
Havasu, AZ – 2,250
Chattanooga, TN – 2,000
St. Louis, MO – 2,000
Escondido, CA – 2,000 (two locations)
Stuart, FL – 2,000
Grand Junction, CO – 2,000
Colorado Springs, CO – 2,000
Pleasanton, CA – 2,000
Wheeling, WV – 2,000
Columbus, IN – 2,000
St. Paul, MN – 2,000
Houston, TX – 2,000
Huntsville, AL – 2,000
Des Monies, IA – 2,000 (average of two estimates)
Troy, MI – 2,000
Prescott, AZ – 2,000
Providence, RI – 2,000
Belton, TX – 2,000
Chicago, IL – 2,000
Carson City, NV – 2,000
Fort Lauderdale, FL – 1,750
Tucson, AZ – 1,750 (average of two estimates)
Augusta, GA – 1,700
Knoxville, TN – 1,700
Anchorage, AK – 1,500
Topeka, KS – 1,500
Cleveland, OH – 1,500
Charlotte, NC – 1,500
Charlottesville, VA – 1,500
Tallahassee, FL – 1,500
Tyler, TX – 1,500
Bellingham, WA – 1,500
Deland, FL – 1,500
Salt Lake City, UT – 1,500 (average of two estimates)
Salem, OR – 1,500 (average of two estimates)
Austin, TX – 1,250 (average of two estimates)
New Bern, NC – 1,200
Raleigh, NC – 1,200
Lynchburg, VA – 1,200
Bend, OR – 1,200
Seattle, WA – 1,100
Waco, TX – 1,100
Washington, DC – 1,000
Medina, OH – 1,000
Beaumount, TX – 1,000
Wilmington, DE – 1,000
Carmel Mountain Ranch, CA – 1,000
Temecula, CA – 1,000
Palm Springs, CA – 1,000
Hudsonville, MI – 1,000
Fort Collins, CO – 1,000
Kansas City, MO – 1,000
Marble Falls, TX – 1,000
Manchester, NH – 1,000
Baxter, AR – 1,000
Yuma, AZ – 1,000
Lisle, IL – 1,000
Plymouth, MI – 1,000
Mobile, AL – 1,000
Seal Beach, CA – 1,000
Oceanside, CA – 1,000
Ocala, FL – 1,000
Cullman, AL – 1,000
Memphis, TN – 1,000
Greensboro, NC 1,000
Albuquerque, NM – 1,000
New Haven, CT – 1,000
Montgomery, AL – 1,000
Natrona, WY – 1,000
Albany, NY – 1,000
Rapid City, SD – 1,000
Loveland, CO – 1,000
Ventura, CA – 1,000
Wichita, KS – 1,000
Portland, OR – 1,000
Gainesville, FL – 1,000
San Jose, CA – 1,000
Gilbert, AZ – 1,000
Louisville, KY – 1,000
Fresno, CA – 1,000
Joplin, MO – 1,000
Santa Ana, CA – 1,000
Baton Rouge, LA – 1,000
Denton, TX – 950
Winston-Salem, NC – 900
Wasilla, AK – 850
Astacadero, CA – 850
Abilene, TX – 800
Doral, FL – 800
Wichita Falls, TX – 800
Roseburg, OR – 750
Rochester, NY – 750
Fayetteville, AR – 700 (average of two estimates)
Virginia Beach, VA – 650
Pocatello, ID – 650 (average of two estimates)
Longview, TX – 650
Farmington, NM – 600
Hyannis, MA – 600
Cedar Rapids, IA – 600
Houma, LA – 600 (two events)
Augusta, ME – 600
Morristown, NJ – 600 (average of three estimates)
Duluth, MN – 600 (average of two estimates)
Yakima, WA – 600
Tuscaloosa, AL – 600
Concord, NH – 600
Monterey, CA – 600
Ashland, OH – 600
Matamoras, PA – 600
West Palm Beach, FL – 600
Charleston, WV – 550 (average of two estimates)
Billings, MT – 500
Peoria, IL – 500
Piscataway, NJ – 500
Clarksville, TN – 500
Port St. Lucie, FL – 500
Pensacola, FL – 500
San Diego, CA – 500
Redlands, CA – 500
Corpus Christi, TX – 500
Las Vegas, NV – 500
Santa Rosa, CA – 500
St. Simons Island, FL – 500
Chico, CA – 500
Burleson, TX – 500
Lisbon, OH – 500
Naperville, IL – 500
Tampa, FL – 500
Southlake, TX – 500
San Francisco, CA – 500
Little Rock, AR – 500
Montpelier, VT – 500
Missoula, MT – 500
Fishersville, VA – 500
Myrtle Beach, SC – 500
Fort Smith, AR – 500
Marietta, WV – 500
Pearland, TX – 450
St. Cloud, MN – 450
Jackson, MI – 450
Hollidaysburg, PA – 450
Springfield, IL – 400
Livonia, MI – 400
Champaign, IL – 400
Honolulu, HI – 400
Columbus, MS – 400
Lexington, NE – 400
Elba, AL – 400
Valdosta, GA – 400
Trenton, NJ – 400
Syracuse, NY – 400
Abingdon, VA – 400
Lancaster, PA – 400
Modesto, CA – 400
Chillicothe, OH – 400
Edenton, NC – 400
Gardiner, NY – 400
Florence, AL – 350
Thousand Oaks, CA – 338 (average of two estimates)
Sandusky, OH – 300
Friendswood, TX – 300
Fayetteville, NC – 300 (two events)
Camdenton, MO – 300
Bangor, ME – 300
Cheyenne, WY – 300
Muskegon, MI – 300
Joliet, IL – 300
Rutland, VT – 300
Massapequa, NY – 300
Lakewood Ranch, FL – 300
Harrisburg, IL – 300
Fon du Lac, WI – 300
Minden, LA – 300
El Dorado, AR – 300
Columbus, GA – 300
Iowa City, IA – 300
Harrison, AR – 300
York, SC – 300
New Braunfels, TX – 300
Parkersburg, WV – 300
Goldsboro, NC – 300
Martinsburg, WV – 300
Borger, TX – 275
Elizabethtown, KY – 275
Glendale, CA – 275 (average of two estimates)
Bethlehem, PA – 275 (average of two estimates)
Ashtabula, OH – 275
Chelsea, MI – 250
Kahului, HI – 250
Nicholasville, KY – 250
Newport News, VA – 250
San Mateo, CA – 250
Cody, WY – 250 (average of two estimates)
Frankfort, KY – 250
Miami, OK – 250
Gilmer, TX – 250
Norwalk, OH – 250
Craig, CO – 221
Hannibal, MO – 200
Ann Arbor, MI – 200
Seguin, TX – 200
Neunan, GA – 200
Pappilon, NE – 200
Walton, FL – 200
Cleveland, TN – 200
Jefferson City, MO – 200
Merced, CA – 200
Pismo Beach, CA – 200
Coldwater, MI – 200
Dickinson, ND – 200
Fort Scott, KS – 200
Reno, NV – 200
Rockford, IL – 200
Flemington, NJ – 200
Bellevue, WA – 200
Palmer Township, PA – 200
Youngstown, OH – 200
Helena, MT – 200
Fayetteville, GA – 200
Crystal Lake, IL – 200
Bartow, FL – 200
Scranton, PA – 200
Rowlett, TX – 200
Dekalb, AL – 200
Portsmouth, NH – 200
Rochester, NH – 200
Mankato, MN – 200
Greenville, NC – 200
Ada, OK – 200
Superior, WI – 200
Bloomington, IN – 200
Oswego, IL – 200
Philadelphia, PA – 200
Yucaipa, CA – 200
Stockton, CA – 200
Defiance, OH – 175
Reading, PA – 150
Buffalo, NY – 150
Watkinsville, GA – 150
Pullman, WA – 150
South Kitsap, WA – 150
Baltimore, MD – 150
Currituck, NC – 150
Emporia, KS – 150
Elizabeth City, NC – 150
Simi Valley, CA – 150
Kalispell, MT – 150
Omaha, NE – 150
Council Bluffs, IA – 150
Evansville, IN – 150 (average of two estimates)
Albany, OR – 140
Dover, NH – 125
Boiling Springs, SC – 120
San Bernardino, CA – 100
Kingston, NY – 100
Camden, NY – 100
Moscow, ID – 100
Anderson, IN – 100
Bremerton, WA – 100
Chico, WA – 100
Oak Harbor, WA – 100
Meridian, MS – 100
Staunton, VA – 100
Gastonia, NC – 100
Bristol, TN – 100
Greenville, TN – 100
Shelton, CT – 100
Glenwood Springs, CO – 100
Marion, IL – 100
Plattsburgh, NY – 100
Crown Point, IN- 100
Fremont, OH – 100
Astoria, OR – 100
Coos Bay, OR – 100
Bad Axe, MI – 100
Pittsfield, NY – 100
Vineland, NJ – 100
San Marcos, TX – 90
Milwaukee, WI – 80
Fort Mill, SC – 80
New Richmond, WI – 80
Cotulla, TX – 80
Chester, NY – 80
Bradenton, FL – 75
Natchez, MS – 75
Corona, CA – 65 (two locations)
Herrin, IL – 65
West Covina, CA – 60
Richmond Hill, GA – 60
Newark, NJ – 50
Opelousas, AL – 50
Nicholson, GA – 50
Napa, CA – 50
North Platte, NE – 50
Westerville, OH – 50
Oakland, CA – 50
Frisco, CO – 50
Pittsburg/Antoich, CA – 50
Carbondale, IL – 50
Sevierville, TN – 40
Carterville, IL – 40
Nobelsville, IN – 35
Gadsden, AL – 35
Pataskala, OH – 30
Green Cove Springs, FL – 30
Richmond, CA – 30
Selma, AL – 30
Lake City, WA – 24
Bound Book, NJ – 20
Plainville, CT – 13
Sitka, AK – 12
Fort Plain, NY – 12

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