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Obama’s bounce in state polling
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Below is a just-the-numbers list of all states that have been polled since the conclusion of the Democratic primaries that were also polled by that same polling firm in May; positive numbers indicate an Obama lead.

State               May      June     Change
AR Rasmussen -24 -9 +15
KY SurveyUSA -24 -12 +12
OH Quinnipiac -4 +6 +10
KS Rasmussen -19 -10 +9
FL Quinnipiac -4 +4 +8
NY Siena +11 +18 +7
WA Rasmussen +11 +18 +7
PA Quinnipaic +6 +12 +6
WI Rasmussen -4 +2 +6
IA Rasmussen +2 +7 +5
VA Rasmussen -3 +1 +4
MI Rasmussen -1 +3 +4
WA SurveyUSA +14* +17 +3
NC Rasmussen -3 -2 +1
NC Civitas -5 -4 +1
MN Rasmussen +15 +13 -2
MN SurveyUSA +5 +1 -4
OR Rasmussen +14 +8 -6
=========================================
AVERAGE -0.7 +4.7 +5.4

* Average of two May surveys.

Nate Silver is the founder and editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight.

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