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New results for North Dakota are in the system — Obama’s up 2, but our model isn’t buying that it’s a swing state– plus the Zogby and Rasmussen trackers and the ABC/Post national poll.

Full and official polling write-up won’t likely come until after Rasmussen releases its swing state results at 5 PM today.

Nate Silver is the founder and editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight.

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