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FiveThirtyEight

Politics

We deleted the Omaha thread because the Secretary of State hadn’t finished updating the pdf. My bad. Neither Obama nor McCain has won Nebraska’s 2d district. It’s extremely close.

Al Franken has pulled ahead in Minnesota.

Some very weird things are going on in Georgia, as the total vote is much, much lower than expected. Some speculation has the early vote not being counted, which would strongly suggest that Saxby Chambliss will have to face a runoff in four weeks.

If Franken holds on, if Jeff Merkley in Oregon can win (Multnomah is the big Portland Democratic engine and is largely outstanding), then it is increasingly likely that the Dems will converge on Georgia for the next four weeks to try to win the 60th Senate seat.

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