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FiveThirtyEight

Politics

This is not newsworthy, but I think it’s good to have the numbers along with our vague impressions of how young/old people and more/less educated people are voting.

These are based on raw Pew data, reweighted to adjust for voter turnout by state, income, and ethnicity. No modeling of vote on age, education, and ethnicity. I think our future estimates based on the 9-way model will be better, but these are basically OK, I think. All but six of the dots in the graph are based on sample sizes greater than 30.

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