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FiveThirtyEight

Politics

Maryland’s first House district, held by the retiring Wayne Gilchrest (R), has been flipped blue, according to the Associated Press.

This leaves AK-AL, WA-08, CA-04, and VA-05, where Miss Virginia’s canvassing efforts, inspired by Nancy Pfotenhauer and “real Virginia,” have helped a rising tide lift Tom Perriello’s boat. Perriello has declared victory.

Yesterday, we forgot to include OH-15, where Mary Jo Kilroy (D) and Steve Stivers (R) were locked in a battle for Republican Deborah Pryce’s open seat. This seat is to the west of Columbus, and shows a 149-vote lead for Stivers.

We also forgot to include the potential shocker in California’s 44th district, where incumbent Ken Calvert was clinging to a tiny lead over challenger Bill Hedrick. The AP called the race for Calvert but Swing State Project is noting that there are up to 100,000 absentee ballots left to be counted in the narrow race. Calvert has declared victory.

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