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FiveThirtyEight

Chelsea’'s Nemanja Matic, left, competes for the ball with Swansea City’'s Ki Sung-Yueng during their English Premier League match in London on Sept. 13.
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Ben Bernanke addresses the Economic Club of Washington on Dec. 7, 2009, in Washington, D.C.
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Los Angeles Dodger Carl Crawford is congratulated  after scoring against the Colorado Rockies on Monday in Denver. The Dodgers' win improved their road record to 46-29.
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San Diego Chargers tight end Antonio Gates, right, scores past Seattle Seahawks outside linebacker K.J. Wright during the second half of an NFL football game on Sunday, Sept. 14, 2014, in San Diego.
House of Representatives Republican freshmen  at a news conference at the U.S. Capitol on Oct. 4, 2011.
Umpires Eric Cooper, left, and Tom Hallion listen on headphones during a challenge in a Seattle Mariners-Houston Astros game on May 22.
A student registers at the Barnard College Career Fair on Sept. 7, 2012 in New York City.
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