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FiveThirtyEight

A Seattle Seahawks fan during the fourth quarter of a game between the St. Louis Rams and the Seahawks on Sunday in St. Louis. The Rams won 28-26.
Republican Senate candidate State Sen. Joni Ernst makes a statement to the media after her debate with Democratic Rep. Bruce Braley at Simpson College  in Indianola, Iowa, in September.
Denver Broncos quarterback Peyton Manning warms up before daily practice at Dove Valley in Englewood, Colorado on Oct. 9.
Mitt Romney, then the GOP presidential candidate, at a rally at Pioneer Park in Dunedin, Florida, in 2012.
New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, right, speaks to reporters next to Republican Scott Brown after endorsing him for U.S. Senate during a campaign event in Salem, New Hampshire, in September.
The Kansas City Royals celebrate after Game 3 of the American League Division Series in Kansas City, Missouri, on Sunday. The Royals defeated the Los Angeles Angels 8-3 to sweep the series.
Republican Senate candidate Joni Ernst acknowledges the crowd as she takes the stage during the Iowa Faith and Freedom Coalition fall fundraiser Sept. 27 in Des Moines, Iowa.
Tom Brady of the New England Patriots sets at the line of scrimmage against the Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday at Gillette Stadium  in Foxboro, Massachusetts.
Former Republican U.S. Sen. Larry Pressler, an independent candidate for the U.S. Senate in South Dakota, speaks at a news conference in July in Sioux Falls, South Dakota.
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