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FiveThirtyEight

Sarge Johnson of the Harlem Globetrotters does a flip during a game against the Washington Generals at the Verizon Center in Washington in 2011.
A memorial with candles that read "MH17" silently glows as unseen churchgoers pray for the victims of Malaysia Airlines flight MH17 from Amsterdam to Kuala Lumpur, at a church in Kuala Lumpur on Friday.
Carmelo Anthony of the New York Knicks prepares for a game against the Heat on April 6 in Miami.
German players celebrate after Germany's 1-0 victory over Argentina in the World Cup final.
Germany soccer fans celebrate their team's 7-1 victory over Brazil after watching the World Cup semifinal match on a live telecast inside the FIFA Fan Fest area on Copacabana beach in Rio de Janeiro.
Kevin Love, left, and LeBron James, right, challenge Spanish forward Pau Gasol during the London 2012 Olympic Games men's gold medal game between the United States and Spain at the North Greenwich Arena in London.
Blake Griffin of the Los Angeles Clippers and  LeBron James of the Miamia Heat laugh during the first half of the NBA All-Star basketball game Sunday, Feb. 17, 2013.
Brazil's Marcelo during Tuesday's World Cup semifinal between Brazil and Germany at the Mineirao Stadium in Belo Horizonte, Brazil.
Argentina's Angel di Maria lies on the ground after getting injured during the World Cup quarterfinal between Argentina and Belgium in Brasilia, Brazil, on Saturday.
Germany's goalkeeper Manuel Neuer after Germany defeated France 1-0 at Maracana Stadium in Rio de Janeiro to advance to the World Cup semifinals.
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