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FiveThirtyEight

Independent U.S. Senate candidate Greg Orman talks to workers at a healthcare company on Wednesday, Sept. 10, in Overland Park, Kansas.
Discarded Yes campaign advertising material was littered on the Royal Mile in Edinburgh, Scotland on Friday.
Denver Broncos quarterback Peyton Manning before Sunday's game against the Kansas City Chiefs in Denver.
silver-forecast-methodology-charts-homepage
Senator Mark Udall, right, Democrat of Colorado, during a news conference by the shore of St. Vrain Creek in Lyons, Colorado, on Friday.
Senator Mark Begich, Democrat of Alaska.
NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell speaks on the opening day of Levi's Stadium in July in Santa Clara, California.
Miami Dolphins defensive end Cameron Wake enters the field before the Week 1 game against the New England Patriots in Miami Garden, Florida, on Sunday.
People wait to vote at the North Miami Public Library in 2012 in North Miami, Florida.
2014 US Open Tennis
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