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FiveThirtyEight

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Most Valuable Player San Antonio Spurs forward Kawhi Leonard, center celebrates with the team after Game 5 of the NBA Finals against the Miami Heat on Sunday.
Dwyane Wade of the Miami Heat goes to the basket against Manu Ginobili, left, of the San Antonio Spurs during Game 4 of the NBA Finals.
San Antonio Spurs guard Danny Green drives to the basket against the Miami Heat during Game 3 of the NBA  Finals.
Miami Heat forward LeBron James appeals to an official during the first half in Game 2 of the NBA Finals against the San Antonio Spurs.
Miami Heat forward LeBron James on the bench during the second half in Game 1 of the NBA Finals.
Miami Heat guard Dwyane Wade, left, and forward LeBron James at practice Wednesday in San Antonio.
The Miami Heat's LeBron James.
The Oklahoma City Thunder's Kevin Durant in the second half of Game 5 of the NBA's Western Conference finals.
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