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FiveThirtyEight

Sen. Charles E. Schumer on Capitol Hill in Washington.
Jack Kingston, a Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in Georgia.
U.S. Senator Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts  at a rally in support of Kentucky democratic candidate Alison Lundergan Grimes at the University of Louisville in Louisville, Kentucky.
Supporters of Sen. Thad Cochran at his victory party in Jackson, Mississippi, after he was declared the winner in the primary runoff for the GOP nomination for U.S. Senate.
Democrat Charlie Crist, a gubernatorial candidate in Florida.
Kentucky Secretary of State Alison Lundergan Grimes, a Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate, campaigns in Frankfort, Kentucky, in May.
Mitt Romney, left, the 2012 Republican presidential candidate, with his running mate, Rep. Paul Ryan, after a speech to the 2012 Republican National Convention in Tampa, Florida.
Sen. Mark Udall, a Colorado Democrat, arrives at the Capitol in Washington, D.C., for a vote April 29.
From left, House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid and House Speaker John Boehner during a 50th anniversary of the Civil Rights Act of 1964 ceremony Tuesday in the Capitol Rotunda in Washington, D.C.
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