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FiveThirtyEight

Mary Kay Thill reads a Chicago Tribune newspaper on Nov. 8, 2000 at the Park Ridge, Illinois, Library
A first responder sprays a disinfecting solution at the Dallas Area Rapid Transit White Rock Station in Dallas, Texas, after a woman with Ebola-like symptoms fell ill there on Saturday. The woman reportedly stayed in the same apartment complex as the first patient diagnosed with Ebola in the United States.
Lower Manhattan during the winter storm "Hercules" on Jan. 2.
Democratic Sen. Kay Hagan speaks with volunteers and supporters during an event at a campaign office in Statesville, North Carolina in  September.
U.S. Sen. Mark Udall, right, applauds as U.S. Sen. Elizabeth Warren, left, speaks to a gathered crowd during a rally on the campus of the University of Colorado, in Boulder.
Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell speaks on Thursday at the Young Professionals Association of Louisville in Louisville, Kentucky.
Annie Laura Howard Stephens holds a Michelle Nunn sign at a rally for the Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate before early voting at Fulton County's Adamsville Recreation Center on Wednesday in Atlanta.
U.S. Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, right, and his Democratic opponent, Kentucky Secretary of State Alison Lundergan Grimes, rehearsed with host Bill Goodman before their appearance on Monday on  "Kentucky Tonight," live from KET studios in Lexington, Kentucky.
Representative Bill Cassidy, the Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in Louisiana, at a campaign stop at VFW Post 5951in Bossier City on Monday.
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