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FiveThirtyEight

Staff of the Christian charity Samaritan's Purse wear protective gear in the ELWA hospital in Monrovia, Liberia.
The EDF Energy London Eye (or Millennium Wheel) at dawn.
Argentine forward Gonzalo Higuain takes a shot on goal during this year's World Cup final.
Netherlands' Arjen Robben during a training session at the Estadio Nacional in Brasilia, Brazil, on Friday.
Costa Rican goalkeeper Keylor Navas makes a save from a free kick during the World Cup quarterfinal match between the Netherlands and Costa Rica at Arena Fonte Nova in Salvador, Brazil, on July 5.
U.S. players lie on the ground as Belgium's Axel Witsel celebrates at the end of extra time during the World Cup  match between Belgium and the United States in Salvador, Brazil, on  July 1.
Lionel Messi of Argentina dribbles the ball during a training session at Arena de Sao Paulo on July 8, 2014, in Sao Paulo, Brazil.
A mistake, or a great shot by his opponent? Roger Federer of Switzerland stretches for a return during his Wimbeldon semifinal match Friday against Milos Raonic of Canada.
Kevin Mirallas of Belgium has his shot saved by Tim Howard of the United States during the 2014 FIFA World Cup Brazil Round of 16 match between Belgium and the United States.
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